SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
37.23% ( -0.09) | 26.74% ( 0.12) | 36.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.48) | 53.32% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.4) | 74.87% ( 0.41) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.28) | 27.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.73% ( -0.36) | 63.27% ( 0.36) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.25) | 28.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.82% ( -0.31) | 64.18% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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