Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
