SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
51.59% ( 1.47) | 25.7% ( -0.59) | 22.72% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( 1.41) | 55.34% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( 1.14) | 76.55% ( -1.14) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 1.23) | 21.49% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.46% ( 1.85) | 54.54% ( -1.85) |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.05) | 39.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.69% ( -0.04) | 76.31% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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