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Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Campo Manuel Marques
RA
Torreense
2 - 1
Rio Ave
Gonzalez (13'), Welthon (81')
Fernandes (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sa (76')
Oudrhiri (79'), Costinha (84')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Torreense and Rio Ave.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Torreense 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Torreense had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Torreense win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
TorreenseDrawRio Ave
36.77% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 25.78% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 37.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)49.21% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.317 -0.32)71.27% (0.31 0.31)
Torreense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.2 -0.2)26.03% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93% (-0.266 -0.27)61.07% (0.259 0.26)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)25.65% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (-0.238 -0.24)60.55% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Torreense 36.77%
    Rio Ave 37.44%
    Draw 25.77%
TorreenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.77%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Torreense 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Torreense 1-0 Mafra
Friday, July 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Torreense
Tuesday, December 6 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Torreense 1-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 2 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-1 Torreense
Thursday, November 24 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Torreense 1-1 Viseu
Sunday, November 20 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-4 Moreirense
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
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