MX23RW : Wednesday, April 5 20:26:45
SM
England Women vs. Brazil Women: 22 hrs 18 mins
Dec 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK at Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente
0 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Carvalho (50')
Fujimoto (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Santos (53'), Inacio (64'), Braganca (90+3')
Goncalves (7'), Ugarte (20'), Nunes (45+3'), Coates (61'), Esteves (66')
Neto (21')

We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Gil Vicente have enjoyed a fine campaign so far and will be looking to pick up their third consecutive win for the first time this season and strengthen their position in the top half of the standings. However, they face the stern test of taking on a rampant Sporting Lisbon side, who have won each of the last four meetings between the sides. We are backing Sporting Lisbon to extend their dominance in this fixture and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawSporting Lisbon
23.17%24.47%52.36%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83%50.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87%72.13%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.1%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24%50.76%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 23.17%
    Sporting Lisbon 52.36%
    Draw 24.46%
Gil VicenteDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-1 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.17%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 11.48%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-2 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.36%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica26232167145371
2Porto26194356173961
3Braga26192556233359
4Sporting Lisbon25172652232953
5AroucaArouca2611873032-241
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2612592529-441
7Casa Pia26115102327-438
8Vizela26105113028235
9Rio AveRio Ave2696112529-433
10FamalicaoFamalicao26103132533-833
11ChavesChaves2688102733-632
12BoavistaBoavista2686123044-1430
13Gil Vicente2585122632-629
14PortimonensePortimonense2682161833-1526
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2674152239-1725
16Maritimo2654172149-2819
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2645171943-2417
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2636171741-2415
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