Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.07%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
