Famalicao will be looking to quickly return to winning ways and resume their charge away from the drop zone after they were denied a third straight win by Portimonense. While Gil Vicente are ahead in the league standings, they are not significantly superior to the visitors and we predict the spoils will be shared between the two sides who are evenly matched on paper.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
