SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Porto had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
42.11% ( -0.36) | 24.47% ( 0.06) | 33.42% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.19) | 43.77% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( -0.19) | 66.16% ( 0.19) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( -0.24) | 20.89% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.4% ( -0.38) | 53.6% ( 0.39) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.09) | 25.41% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 0.12) | 60.22% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.42% |
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