SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
21.11% ( 0.22) | 25.16% ( 0.42) | 53.73% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.1% ( -1.32) | 54.89% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% ( -1.1) | 76.18% ( 1.09) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% ( -0.52) | 40.99% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% ( -0.47) | 77.55% ( 0.46) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.78) | 20.42% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -1.24) | 52.87% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.11% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 10.56% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.73% |
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