SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
34.61% ( 2.27) | 23.26% ( 0.25) | 42.12% ( -2.53) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.38% ( -0.49) | 37.62% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.14% ( -0.53) | 59.85% ( 0.53) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( 1.01) | 21.85% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.91% ( 1.51) | 55.09% ( -1.51) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -1.23) | 18.32% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.58% ( -2.12) | 49.41% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.53% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.71% Total : 42.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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