SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
36.84% ( 1.82) | 26.4% ( 0.31) | 36.75% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -1.21) | 51.89% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -1.05) | 73.65% ( 1.05) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( 0.5) | 27.26% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.31% ( 0.65) | 62.68% ( -0.65) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( -1.76) | 27.31% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.24% ( -2.34) | 62.75% ( 2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.17)Other @ 3% Total : 36.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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