SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
30.83% ( -0.35) | 23.37% ( -0.15) | 45.8% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.54) | 39.57% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.08% ( 0.56) | 61.92% ( -0.55) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.42% ( 0.07) | 59.57% ( -0.07) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( 0.41) | 17.61% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.81% ( 0.71) | 48.19% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.91% Total : 45.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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