SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Woking in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Woking |
33.46% ( 0.38) | 26.05% ( -0.3) | 40.48% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( 1.32) | 50.78% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( 1.15) | 72.68% ( -1.15) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( 0.9) | 28.77% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.38% ( 1.1) | 64.62% ( -1.1) |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( 0.55) | 24.74% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.7% ( 0.76) | 59.3% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Woking |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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