SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
38.82% ( -1.9) | 26.25% ( 0.07) | 34.93% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( 0.05) | 51.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( 0.05) | 73.17% ( -0.05) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0.99) | 25.89% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.13% ( -1.36) | 60.87% ( 1.36) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( 1.18) | 28.13% ( -1.18) |
