SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Cheshunt |
46.61% ( 0.11) | 24.89% ( 0.01) | 28.51% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( -0.13) | 47.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.12) | 69.97% ( 0.12) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.93% ( -0.01) | 53.07% ( 0.01) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.15) | 30.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.12% ( -0.18) | 66.88% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 105 | 47 | 58 | 100 |
| 2 | DartfordDartford | 45 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 82 | 50 | 32 | 82 |
| 3 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 82 | 54 | 28 | 78 |
| 4 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 45 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 47 | 19 | 78 |
| 5 | Braintree TownBraintree | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 65 | 54 | 11 | 73 |
| 6 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 70 | 51 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Worthing | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 87 | 71 | 16 | 72 |
| 8 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 45 | 21 | 5 | 19 | 72 | 65 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville | 44 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 66 |
| 10 | Farnborough Town | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 64 |
| 12 | Bath City | 44 | 17 | 10 | 17 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 61 |
| 13 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hempstead | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 60 |
| 14 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 59 |
| 15 | Taunton TownTaunton Town | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 58 |
| 16 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 44 | 15 | 8 | 21 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 53 |
| 17 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 52 |
| 18 | Slough TownSlough | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover AthleticDover Athletic | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 42 | 66 | -24 | 48 |
| 20 | Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamlet | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 47 |
| 21 | Cheshunt | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 43 |
| 22 | Concord Rangers | 43 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 43 |
| 23 | Weymouth | 44 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 42 |
| R | Hungerford TownHungerford | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 47 | 65 | -18 | 40 |
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