SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Bath City |
25.56% ( -0.08) | 23.98% ( -0.03) | 50.45% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.08) | 45.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.07) | 68.26% ( -0.07) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.02) | 31.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.6% ( -0.02) | 68.39% ( 0.02) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.07) | 18.26% ( -0.07) |
