SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 69%. A draw has a probability of 18.8% and a win for Valenciennes has a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Valenciennes win it is 0-1 (4.17%).
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Valenciennes |
69% ( -0.7) | 18.82% ( 0.31) | 12.17% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.37) | 44.17% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.36) | 66.55% ( 0.36) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( -0.29) | 11.69% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.21% ( -0.63) | 36.78% ( 0.63) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.79% ( 0.44) | 46.21% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.12% ( 0.33) | 81.88% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 69% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.82% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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