Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
40.21% ( -0.04) | 27.03% ( 0.01) | 32.76% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.09% ( -0.02) | 54.91% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% ( -0.01) | 76.19% ( 0.01) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.03) | 26.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -0.04) | 62.06% ( 0.04) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( 0.01) | 31.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.35% ( 0.02) | 67.65% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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