SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
35.87% ( -0.36) | 27.39% ( 0.03) | 36.73% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% ( -0.13) | 55.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( -0.11) | 77.04% ( 0.11) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.29) | 29.79% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.13% ( -0.35) | 65.87% ( 0.35) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.14) | 29.26% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.78% ( 0.17) | 65.22% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 36 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Metz | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 66 |
| 4 | Bastia | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Caen | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Paris FCParis FC | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 51 |
| 9 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 | Annecy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Dijon | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
| 17 | PauPau | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 41 |
| 18 | Laval | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Nimes | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 28 |
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