Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 21.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
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