SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Quevilly |
50.98% ( 0.08) | 25.3% ( -0.02) | 23.71% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( 0.04) | 52.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( 0.04) | 74.57% ( -0.03) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.05) | 20.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.55% ( 0.08) | 53.44% ( -0.07) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.03) | 37.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.85% ( -0.03) | 74.15% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Quevilly |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 25 | 57 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Metz | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 45 |
| 5 | Bastia | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 42 |
| 6 | Grenoble | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Caen | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | GuingampGuingamp | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Annecy | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Laval | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 | PauPau | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
| 18 | Nimes | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 19 | Dijon | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 26 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 23 |
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