SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 64.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochaux | Draw | Quevilly |
64.11% ( -0.08) | 22.33% ( 0.03) | 13.55% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.76% ( -0.02) | 55.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( -0.02) | 76.47% ( 0.02) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.04) | 16.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.41% ( -0.06) | 46.59% ( 0.06) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.18% ( 0.06) | 50.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.78% ( 0.04) | 85.22% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochaux | Draw | Quevilly |
| 1-0 @ 15.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 64.1% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 13.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 24 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | Metz | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Grenoble | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Caen | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 36 |
| 7 | Quevilly | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Bastia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Annecy | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Laval | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Paris FCParis FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | PauPau | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 24 |
| 17 | Nimes | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 | NiortNiort | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 23 |
| 19 | Dijon | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 22 |
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