SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Sochaux |
33.56% ( -0.35) | 26.84% ( -0.02) | 39.6% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.01) | 53.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.01) | 75.41% ( -0.01) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.22) | 30.29% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.54% ( -0.26) | 66.46% ( 0.26) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.08% ( 0.27) | 61.92% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Sochaux |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 36 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Metz | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 66 |
| 4 | Bastia | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Caen | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Paris FCParis FC | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 51 |
| 9 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 | Annecy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Dijon | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
| 17 | PauPau | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 41 |
| 18 | Laval | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Nimes | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 28 |
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