SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nimes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
30.52% ( 1.08) | 25.86% ( -0.03) | 43.62% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% ( 0.61) | 50.9% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( 0.54) | 72.78% ( -0.54) |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 1.09) | 30.8% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.93% ( 1.27) | 67.07% ( -1.27) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.23) | 23.22% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.87% ( -0.35) | 57.13% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nimes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Metz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Bastia | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Grenoble | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Caen | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | AmiensAmiens | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
| 12 | GuingampGuingamp | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 39 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | PauPau | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 16 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Dijon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 19 | Nimes | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 26 |
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