SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Caen had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Caen |
49.04% ( -0.84) | 25.95% ( -0.11) | 25% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( 1.11) | 54.41% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.91) | 75.78% ( -0.92) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( 0.09) | 22.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.36% ( 0.13) | 55.64% ( -0.13) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( 1.47) | 36.99% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.22% ( 1.43) | 73.78% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Metz | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Sochaux | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 5 | Bastia | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 | Caen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | AmiensAmiens | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 36 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 | Annecy | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 33 |
| 16 | PauPau | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Laval | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Nimes | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Dijon | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 26 |
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