SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Amiens | Draw | Bordeaux |
28.61% ( -0.46) | 25.86% ( -0.45) | 45.52% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 1.57) | 51.79% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 1.35) | 73.56% ( -1.35) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( 0.48) | 32.64% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.81% ( 0.54) | 69.19% ( -0.54) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 1.11) | 22.71% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.62% ( 1.62) | 56.37% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amiens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
| 3 | Metz | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Sochaux | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 52 |
| 5 | Bastia | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 51 |
| 6 | Caen | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 49 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | GuingampGuingamp | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Paris FCParis FC | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 | AmiensAmiens | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | PauPau | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Annecy | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 36 |
| 16 | Valenciennes | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 17 | Laval | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 | Dijon | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
| 19 | Nimes | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 29 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 27 |
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