SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Le Havre |
35.82% ( -0.07) | 28.3% ( -0.01) | 35.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.66% ( 0.05) | 59.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.27% ( 0.04) | 79.73% ( -0.04) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( -0.02) | 31.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.08% ( -0.03) | 67.92% ( 0.03) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( 0.09) | 31.49% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.12% ( 0.1) | 67.88% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 56 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Metz | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 45 |
| 5 | Bastia | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 42 |
| 6 | Grenoble | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 41 |
| 7 | Caen | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Paris FCParis FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Annecy | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Laval | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 | PauPau | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
| 18 | Dijon | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 26 |
| 19 | Nimes | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 26 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 23 |
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