SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Sochaux |
38.15% ( -0.07) | 28.4% ( -0) | 33.45% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% ( 0.01) | 59.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( 0.01) | 80.14% ( -0.01) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -0.04) | 30.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.46% ( -0.04) | 66.54% ( 0.04) |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( 0.05) | 33.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.01% ( 0.06) | 69.99% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Sochaux |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 24 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 4 | Metz | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Grenoble | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Caen | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 36 |
| 7 | Quevilly | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Bastia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | AmiensAmiens | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Annecy | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Laval | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 31 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Paris FCParis FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | PauPau | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 24 |
| 17 | Nimes | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 | NiortNiort | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 23 |
| 19 | Dijon | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 22 |
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