SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Le Havre |
25.16% ( 0.34) | 28.07% ( 0.09) | 46.77% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.08) | 61.67% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% ( -0.06) | 81.49% ( 0.06) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( 0.27) | 40.91% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.52% ( 0.24) | 77.48% ( -0.24) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.26) | 26.49% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.32% ( -0.34) | 61.67% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 14.39% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 65 |
| 3 | Metz | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 62 |
| 4 | Bastia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 50 |
| 8 | Quevilly | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Paris FCParis FC | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 47 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 46 |
| 11 | GuingampGuingamp | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 16 | Annecy | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
| 17 | Laval | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 37 |
| 18 | Dijon | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 35 |
| 19 | Nimes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 27 |
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