SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Amiens |
51.22% ( -0.52) | 24.14% ( -0.09) | 24.64% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( 0.95) | 47.42% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.88) | 69.63% ( -0.88) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.16) | 18.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.25% ( 0.27) | 49.75% ( -0.27) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.05) | 33.5% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.87% ( 1.13) | 70.13% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 62 |
| 3 | Metz | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 59 |
| 4 | Bastia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 53 |
| 5 | Sochaux | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Caen | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Grenoble | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | GuingampGuingamp | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Quevilly | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Paris FCParis FC | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | AmiensAmiens | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | PauPau | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Annecy | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Laval | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Nimes | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Dijon | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 27 |
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