SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Grenoble |
41.6% ( -0.09) | 27.68% ( 0.04) | 30.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.12% ( -0.11) | 57.88% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( -0.09) | 78.59% ( 0.09) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.1) | 27.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.12% ( -0.13) | 62.88% ( 0.13) |
| Grenoble Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.01) | 34.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.03% ( -0.02) | 70.97% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Grenoble |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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