Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.
