SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Paris FC | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Valenciennes | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Rodez AF | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Saint-Etienne | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Pau | 4 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
28.79% ( 0.15) | 29.4% ( 0.05) | 41.81% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 42.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( -0.09) | 64.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( -0.06) | 83.35% ( 0.06) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( 0.07) | 39.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.06% ( 0.07) | 75.94% ( -0.07) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.15) | 30.37% ( 0.15) |
