SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Saint-Etienne | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Quevilly | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Sochaux | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Pau | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Saint-Etienne | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Quevilly | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Quevilly | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
24.51% ( 3.77) | 27.31% ( 1.71) | 48.18% ( -5.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -2.73) | 59.59% ( 2.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% ( -2.14) | 79.92% ( 2.14) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% ( 2.19) | 40.33% ( -2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.04% ( 1.93) | 76.95% ( -1.93) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -3.6) | 24.85% ( 3.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.55% ( -5.28) | 59.44% ( 5.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Quevilly | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 1.37) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.83)3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.51% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.71) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.98)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 13.95% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.72% ( -1.12)1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 4.51% ( -1.09)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.69)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.6)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.43)Other @ 2.24% Total : 48.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 35 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Metz | 36 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 66 |
| 4 | Bastia | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Caen | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Paris FCParis FC | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Grenoble | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 51 |
| 9 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | GuingampGuingamp | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 44 |
| 13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 14 | Annecy | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 42 |
| 15 | Dijon | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | PauPau | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 41 |
| 17 | Laval | 36 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
| 19 | Nimes | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 28 |
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