SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
41.58% ( 0.15) | 24.71% ( 0.03) | 33.71% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.17) | 44.79% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -0.16) | 67.15% ( 0.16) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0) | 21.57% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.35% ( -0) | 54.65% ( -0) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.19) | 25.72% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.35% ( -0.25) | 60.65% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
