Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Caen had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.
Result | ||
Bordeaux | Draw | Caen |
56.1% ( 0.09) | 24.4% ( -0.05) | 19.49% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.77% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.09% ( 0.12) | 53.91% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.64% ( 0.1) | 75.36% ( -0.11) |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.89% ( 0.08) | 19.11% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.27% ( 0.13) | 50.73% ( -0.14) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.82% ( 0.02) | 42.17% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.41% ( 0.02) | 78.59% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bordeaux | Draw | Caen |
1-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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