SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Caen had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amiens | Draw | Caen |
35.8% ( -0.29) | 28.65% ( 0.03) | 35.54% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% ( -0.1) | 60.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -0.07) | 80.71% ( 0.07) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.24) | 32.19% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.32% ( -0.27) | 68.68% ( 0.27) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( 0.12) | 32.36% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.12% ( 0.14) | 68.87% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amiens | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.79% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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