SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Guingamp |
56.49% ( -0.08) | 23.06% ( -0.29) | 20.46% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( 1.7) | 47.37% ( -1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( 1.56) | 69.59% ( -1.55) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( 0.58) | 16.56% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.66% ( 1.03) | 46.34% ( -1.03) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( 1.37) | 37.37% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.84% ( 1.32) | 74.16% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Le HavreLe Havre | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 72 |
| 2 | Metz | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 69 |
| 3 | Bordeaux | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 69 |
| 4 | Bastia | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 |
| 5 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 59 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 52 |
| 9 | Grenoble | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 47 |
| 13 | Valenciennes | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45 |
| 14 | Annecy | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 45 |
| 15 | PauPau | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 44 |
| 16 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Laval | 37 | 13 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Dijon | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 42 |
| 19 | Nimes | 37 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 33 |
| 20 | NiortNiort | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
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