SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
27.28% ( -0.18) | 24.17% ( -0.07) | 48.55% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.19) | 45.45% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( 0.18) | 67.78% ( -0.18) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -0.04) | 30.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -0.04) | 66.53% ( 0.04) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( 0.17) | 18.81% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( 0.29) | 50.24% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.28% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.55% |
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