SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
58.17% ( -1.25) | 22.02% ( 0.42) | 19.81% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.68) | 43.77% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( -0.66) | 66.16% ( 0.66) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( -0.62) | 14.75% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.01% ( -1.19) | 42.99% ( 1.19) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0.47) | 35.98% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( 0.48) | 72.75% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
