SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
34.61% ( -0.32) | 25.78% ( -0.03) | 39.61% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( 0.1) | 49.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.09) | 71.43% ( -0.09) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.14) | 27.38% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.18) | 62.85% ( 0.19) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.23) | 24.57% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( 0.32) | 59.05% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.61% |
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