Auxerre's bubble has burst in dramatic fashion, having now gone seven games without a win, with only Le Havre taking fewer points since the start of December.
Saint-Etienne may be down in the bottom three still, but the improvements they have made under Horneland are there for all to see, and they will fancy their chances against an out-of-form Auxerre.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.02) 
