SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
38.63% ( -0.15) | 24.63% ( 0) | 36.74% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.01) | 43.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.01) | 66.32% ( 0.01) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.08) | 22.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.12) | 56.27% ( 0.12) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.07) | 23.62% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( 0.1) | 57.71% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.74% |
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