SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
19.99% ( 0.29) | 20.75% ( 0.33) | 59.25% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.34% ( -1.15) | 37.66% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.1% ( -1.24) | 59.9% ( 1.24) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( -0.39) | 32.25% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% ( -0.44) | 68.75% ( 0.44) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( -0.53) | 12.44% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.63% ( -1.12) | 38.37% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 6.85% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.99% Total : 59.25% |
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