SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
58.9% ( -0.74) | 22.07% ( 0.18) | 19.03% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( 0.09) | 45.13% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 0.08) | 67.48% ( -0.08) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( -0.21) | 14.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( -0.4) | 43.41% ( 0.4) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.68) | 37.59% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% ( 0.66) | 74.37% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.03% |
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