SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
29.71% ( -1.3) | 24.72% ( -0.22) | 45.57% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( 0.38) | 46.38% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( 0.36) | 68.66% ( -0.36) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.69) | 29.07% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( -0.86) | 64.98% ( 0.86) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.83) | 20.43% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( 1.31) | 52.87% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.57% |
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