SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
40.55% ( -0.03) | 25.7% ( 0.06) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.24) | 49.2% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.22) | 71.27% ( 0.22) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( -0.12) | 24% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( -0.17) | 58.25% ( 0.18) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.13) | 27.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.17) | 63.42% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.75% |
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