SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 20 | 16 |
| 3 | Marseille | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Lille | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Montpellier HSC | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lille |
45.55% ( 0) | 24.9% ( 0) | 29.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.01) | 47.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.01) | 69.46% ( 0.01) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0) | 20.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.57% ( -0) | 53.44% ( 0) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.01) | 29.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.36% ( -0.01) | 65.65% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
| 3 | Marseille | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 65 | 35 | 30 | 73 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 60 |
| 6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 |
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
| 10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 |
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
| R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 77 | -48 | 14 |
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