Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
