We said: Brest 1-3 Marseille
A clash between two sides who simply love to attack has all the makings of an enthralling affair this weekend, unless the footballing gods throw a drab goalless stalemate our way.
Such an eventuality should not occur at the Stade Francis Le-Ble, where a full-strength Marseille side ought to march to their second win of the season in convincing fashion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Brest | Draw | Marseille |
30.36% ( -0) | 25.92% ( -0) | 43.72% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0) |
| 48.82% ( 0.01) | 51.18% ( -0) |
| 26.98% ( 0.01) | 73.02% ( -0) |
| 68.95% ( 0) | 31.05% ( 0) |
